Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.035001 0.038144 0.041310 0.044731 0.048316 0.051956 0.055927
2025-11-23 0.030887 0.035577 0.040449 0.045864 0.051693 0.057757 0.064523
2025-11-30 0.027627 0.033481 0.039734 0.046858 0.054700 0.063020 0.072470
2025-12-07 0.024747 0.031477 0.038857 0.047453 0.057101 0.067513 0.079515
2025-12-14 0.022100 0.029470 0.037757 0.047612 0.058869 0.071199 0.085600
2025-12-21 0.020435 0.028426 0.037610 0.048727 0.061616 0.075905 0.092767
2025-12-28 0.017936 0.026182 0.035898 0.047888 0.062008 0.077864 0.096778
2026-01-04 0.016305 0.024861 0.035165 0.048095 0.063525 0.081037 0.102111
2026-01-11 0.015113 0.023989 0.034894 0.048781 0.065548 0.084749 0.108030
2026-01-18 0.013960 0.023076 0.034500 0.049257 0.067272 0.088081 0.113486
2026-01-25 0.011995 0.020945 0.032459 0.047611 0.066370 0.088270 0.115239
2026-02-01 0.010709 0.019636 0.031389 0.047101 0.066782 0.089962 0.118707
2026-02-08 0.009594 0.018512 0.030532 0.046856 0.067540 0.092108 0.122779
2026-02-15 0.009147 0.018321 0.030896 0.048165 0.070220 0.096570 0.129615
2026-02-22 0.008664 0.018038 0.031113 0.049269 0.072640 0.100723 0.136097
2026-03-01 0.008070 0.017542 0.031005 0.049925 0.074485 0.104175 0.141746
2026-03-08 0.007376 0.016834 0.030564 0.050112 0.075715 0.106865 0.146476
2026-03-15 0.007036 0.016665 0.030865 0.051276 0.078184 0.111072 0.153040
2026-03-22 0.006142 0.015508 0.029697 0.050418 0.078025 0.112019 0.155644
2026-03-29 0.005619 0.014932 0.029340 0.050635 0.079236 0.114649 0.160283
2026-04-05 0.005264 0.014620 0.029352 0.051345 0.081078 0.118058 0.165871
2026-04-12 0.004883 0.014226 0.029217 0.051837 0.082623 0.121093 0.171002
2026-04-19 0.004036 0.012875 0.027561 0.050140 0.081243 0.120422 0.171556